关键词: 制造业, 碳排放, 驱动因素, 因素分解, 脱钩效应

Abstract: Using the refined Laspeyres model, this paper studied the driving factors of carbon emissions of manufacturing sector in China during 1995 to 2007, and constructed the carbon emissions decoupling index under the driver-pressure-state-influence-response framework. The results show that the driving factors of carbon emissions have the phasic characteristics, and the main positive driving factor is output effect while the main negative factor is energy intensity effect. Meanwhile, there is a certain decoupling effect in the manufacturing sector, but strong decoupling effect appears only in few years. And the economic structure effect played a key role during the transformation process from weak to strong decoupling effect. At last, we give some feasible policy recommendations.

Key words: Manufacturing Sector, Carbon Emissions, Driving Factors, Factor Decomposition, Decoupling Effect