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### 中国制造业出口如何突破“天花板约束”

• 出版日期:2018-06-25 发布日期:2018-06-22

### How the Chinese Manufacturing Exports Break through the "Ceiling Constraint"

Dai Xiang et al.

• Online:2018-06-25 Published:2018-06-22

Abstract: Under the condition of division of labor in the global value chain, there are nominal and real growths in exports. Confronting the profound changes in domestic and international conditions, currently the nominal exports of Chinese manufacturing faces a "ceiling constraint". One of the pathways to break the constraint is to enhance the domestic value-added in manufacturing exports by manufacturing services. Using the WIOD database, this paper measures 44 sample economies’ value-added (including China) in manufacturing exports from 2000 to 2014 at the levels of a whole sector and subdivisions. It is found that at the level of either a whole sector or subdivisions, there is an in-depth development trend in the manufacturing services, featured as domestic value-added services embedded in exports, but China ranks lower among the sample economies. A further correlation analysis shows that there is a significantly positive correlation between the domestic value-added rate in manufacturing exports and the domestic service value-added embedded in manufacturing exports, while a significantly negative correlation in terms of the foreign service value-added embedded in manufacturing exports. Therefore, to break the "ceiling constraint" by manufacturing services is one of the options to broaden space for China’s manufacturing, but need to distinguish the sources of service value-added imbedded in manufacturing exports. It is of strategic significance to ensure the feasibility of the above-mentioned pathway by developing the domestic services, especially modern productive services in order to weaken the dependence on the foreign services in manufacturing.