关键词: 技术冲击, 习惯形成, 经济增长, 储蓄率

Abstract: This paper is based on the framework of stochastic economic growth under the discrete condition, we use Bayes estimation to calibration and estimation the parameters by using actual data. On this basis, we analyze the impact of the economy by temporary and permanent changing in the level and the growth rate of technology. The results found that if and only if a permanent positive impact on the technology growth can make the conclusion that the saving rate will be positive respect to the economic growth and will be rise to steady-state may be established. This possibility depends on the level of habit formation. Not only can it also directly affect the saving.

Key words: Technology Shocks, Habit Formation, Economic Growth, Saving Rate