统计研究 ›› 2023, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (6): 63-76.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11–1302/c.2023.06.005

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互联网提升了制造企业的全要素生产率吗?

王贵东 杨德林   

  • 出版日期:2023-06-25 发布日期:2023-06-25

Has the Internet Improved the TFP of Manufacturing Enterprises: A Re-discussion of China՚s ICT Productivity Paradox?

Wang Guidong Yang Delin   

  • Online:2023-06-25 Published:2023-06-25

摘要: 作为信息通信技术核心的互联网能否显著提高企业的全要素生产率,在国际上一直存在争论。本文试图对我国是否存在生产率悖论做进一步研判,综合利用正则法则、逻辑判断、多指标协助等方法,针对企业网址、企业邮箱、企业ID等指标进行高精度修复,获得高质量的互联网数据;通过创造性采用跨省人口迁移数据,构建了相对有效的工具变量;综合运用交叉识别、Olley-Pakes、Levinsohn-Petrin、面板工具变量组、间接倾向得分匹配、直接处理效应等方法,最终得出稳健结论。研究表明,我国整体上不存在生产率悖论,在对一些因素进行控制之后,互联网对我国制造企业至少“净”贡献了10%的全要素生产率增长。

关键词: 工业互联网, 互联网+, 生产率悖论, 全要素生产率

Abstract: As the core of ICT, whether the Internet can significantly improve the total factor productivity of enterprises has been debated in the world. The paper tries to further study and judge China’s productivity paradox and draw a logical conclusion. Through comprehensive use of regular law, logical judgment, multi-index assistance and other methods, the paper carries out high-precision repair of enterprise websites, enterprise email, enterprise ID and other indicators, and obtains high-quality Internet data. By creatively using inter-provincial migration data, the paper constructs comparatively effective instrumental variables. Comprehensive use of cross recognition, OP method, LP method, panel tool variable groups, indirect propensity score matching method, direct treatment effect method and so on. Finally, it finds there is no productivity paradox in China as a whole. The paper?s benchmark econometric model shows that after controlling a number of factors, the Internet contributes at least “net” 10 per cent of TFP growth for Chinese manufacturers.

Key words: Industrial Internet, Internet Plus, Productivity Paradox, Total Factor Productivity