统计研究 ›› 2023, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (12): 119-131.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11–1302/c.2023.12.010

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技术要素市场发展促进了制造业生产率增长吗?

戴魁早 刘友金 潘爱民   

  • 出版日期:2023-12-25 发布日期:2023-12-25

Does the Technological Factor Market Development Promote the Productivity Growth of Manufacturing Industry?

Dai Kuizao Liu Youjin Pan Aimin   

  • Online:2023-12-25 Published:2023-12-25

摘要: 本文在归纳技术要素市场发展影响制造业生产率增长机理的基础上,选用2005—2020年我国248个地级市数据,运用多种计量方法对理论预期进行验证。研究发现,技术要素市场发展显著促进我国制造业生产率增长,这一结论在采用工具变量法、企业层面估计等一系列稳健性检验后仍然成立。技术要素市场发展的促进作用主要通过提高创新资源配置效率、促进技术溢出和改善科技成果转化效果等机制来实现。对于沿海城市、省会城市、制造业技术进步能力较强的城市,技术要素市场发展的影响更明显。进一步研究发现,劳动力市场、资本市场与大数据等要素细分市场发展,增强了技术要素市场发展对制造业生产率增长的作用效果。本文的研究为我国推进制造业高质量发展和要素市场化改革提供有益参考。

关键词: 技术要素市场发展, 生产率, 影响机制, 制造业

Abstract: On the basis of theoretical induction of the mechanism of the technology market development (TMD) affecting the productivity growth of manufacturing industry (PGMI), this paper selects the data of 248 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2020 and empirically verifies the theoretical expectation by using a variety of measurement methods. It is found that TMD significantly promotes PGMI, and this conclusion still holds after a series of robustness tests such as instrumental variable method and firm-level estimation. The promoting effect of TMD is mainly realized by improving the efficiency of innovation resource allocation, promoting technology spillover and improving the transformation effect of scientific and technological achievements. For the coastal cities, provincial capitals and cities with stronger technological advancement capacity in manufacturing industry, the impact of TMD is more obvious. The further study finds that the development of labor market and capital market and big data have enhanced the promotion effect of TMD on PGMI. This paper has verified the effect of the technological factor market development on PGMI, and provided a beneficial reference for the high-quality development of China’s manufacturing industry and the ongoing factor marketization reform.

Key words: Technological Factor Market Development, Productivity, Influence Mechanism, Manufacturing Industry