统计研究 ›› 2009, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (3): 24-29.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

国际收支贸易调项 对中国贸易平衡的影响程度

贾怀勤   

  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2009-03-15 发布日期:2009-03-15

The Magnitude of the Influence of BOP Items’ Adjustment on China’s Trade Balance

Jia Huaiqin   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2009-03-15 Published:2009-03-15

摘要: 本文首先介绍新修订的国际收支表涉及贸易项目的调整要点,提出应重视加工贸易从货物转移到服务项下核算引起的对中国贸易平衡的影响。接着以主要篇幅对此进行测算和分析,得出影响虽然不小,但不会颠覆货物贸易平衡格局的结论。最后提出关于服务贸易理论和统计制度的四点思考。

关键词: 国际收支, 项目调整, 中国贸易平衡, 货物, 服务

Abstract: This paper firstly gives a quick picture about items’ adjustment concerned with trade in the newly revised BOP, and suggests to pay more attention to the influence resulted from the adjustment on China’s trade balance. As the core of the paper, on the basis of estimating the magnitude of such influence and analyzing its impact, it reaches the conclusion that although the influence is not small, but it can not change the landscape of China’s trade-in-goods balance. Finally, four points of thinking about the theory and statistical rules of trade in service are put forward.


 

Key words: BOP, items’ adjustment, China’ trade balance, goods, services.