统计研究 ›› 2013, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (6): 58-66.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国制造业出口国内技术含量及其影响因素

祝树金 张鹏辉   

  • 出版日期:2013-06-15 发布日期:2013-06-05

The Domestic Technical Content of China's Manufacturing Exports and Its Determinants

Zhu Shujin & Zhang Penghui   

  • Online:2013-06-15 Published:2013-06-05

摘要: 本文结合投入产出表,在考虑到加工贸易后,构建并测算了1992-2010年中国制造业出口品的复合技术含量、国内技术含量及国内技术含量的贡献指数;利用中国制造业面板数据实证分析了复合技术含量和国内技术含量的影响因素,结果发现:(1)中国制造业出口的复合技术含量和国内技术含量总体上呈现了先降后升的变化趋势,而国内技术含量贡献指数总体上趋于下降。(2) 对于复合技术含量较高的行业而言,其国内技术含量指数即国内技术贡献度普遍较低。(3)FDI对于复合技术含量和国内技术含量的提升均有显著的积极作用,而进口贸易则显著为负;资本在长期内具有积极作用,人力资本和研发有助于促进行业FDI的技术外溢。

关键词: 复合技术含量 , 国内技术含量, 投入产出表, 外商直接投资

Abstract: This paper calculates the composite export sophistication, domestic technical content and its contribution index of China’s manufacturing export during the period of 1992-2010 after taking processing trade into account with IO table. Then we examine the determinants of export technical content using manufacturing sector’s panel data. The empirical results show that the composite export sophistication and domestic technical content of China manufacturing exports show the tendency of drop-rise while the contribution index of the domestic technical contents tends to decrease during the sample period. The industries with the higher composite export sophistication have relatively lower contribution index of domestic technical contents in general. FDI plays a positive role in promoting the composite export sophistication and domestic technical content while capital deepening makes a positive effect in the long term and the import trade plays a negative effect. Human capital and R&D can improve the spillovers effect of FDI.

Key words: Composite Export Sophistication, Domestic Technical Content, IO Table, FDI