统计研究 ›› 2013, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (12): 83-88.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国城镇老年家庭的消费行为特征研究

杨赞等   

  • 出版日期:2013-12-15 发布日期:2013-11-28

The Characteristics of Elderly Households’ Consumption Behaviors in Urban China

Zan Yang et al.   

  • Online:2013-12-15 Published:2013-11-28

摘要: 老年人消费日益成为决定居民消费总量进而影响宏观经济的重要因素。国外学者研究发现,居民退休后的消费会显著下降,被称为“退休消费困惑”。本文基于中国国家统计局城镇住户调查的大样本微观数据,系统分析中国老年家庭的消费行为特征,尤其重点探讨中国是否存在“退休消费困惑”。本文发现,中国老年家庭的消费有较高的收入弹性,但健康水平对其消费有显著的挤压效应。我们还发现,中国老年家庭在退休后总消费水平不但没有下降,反而平均而言还有2-3个百分点的提升,尤其近些年份和较发达地区退休对消费的提振作用更明显。本文的发现对在扩大内需和应对老龄化战略中如何开拓老年人消费市场具有重要的参考价值。

关键词: 老年消费, 退休, 退休消费困惑, 消费需求

Abstract: Elderly householders’ consumption becomes one of crucial effects affecting macro-economy. Several international researches have shown that household expenditures significantly drop after retirement and labeled as the "retirement consumption puzzle”, which is inconsistent with the standard life-cycle model of consumption. Based on the large-scale household survey data collected by the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics, we provide a comprehensive empirical analysis of Chinese elderly household’s consumption behavior and give special attention on the variations of consumption before and after retirement. We find that elderly households’ consumptions, in China, have relatively high income elasticity and their health expenditure exhibit a strong squeeze effect on the consumption. We also find that, on average, the Chinese elderly households increase 2-3 percent of total consumption level after they retire. The positive impact of retirement on consumption is more manifest in recent years and in advanced regions. The findings in this paper have important policy implications in boosting domestic demand and exploring the elderly consumer market.

Key words: The Elders&rsquo, Consumption, Retirement, Retirement Consumption Puzzle, Consumption Demand