统计研究 ›› 2019, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (3): 78-87.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2019.03.007

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收入、预期寿命和社会养老保险收入再分配效应

张翔等   

  • 出版日期:2019-03-25 发布日期:2019-03-27

Income,Life Expectancy and the Income Redistribution Effect of Social Pension Insurance

Zhang Xiang et al.   

  • Online:2019-03-25 Published:2019-03-27

摘要: 本文在考虑职工基本养老保险典型不同缴费基数参保者寿命存在异质性的情况下,通过内部收益率的计算考察典型不同缴费基数参保者之间的养老金收入再分配效应。首先根据省级宏观截面数据估计了职工基本养老保险典型不同缴费基数参保者退休时的平均余命,再据此分别计算和比较不同参保群体的内部收益率。 研究发现职工基本养老保险制度总体上呈现微弱的正向收入再分配效应。虽然低缴费基数参保者内部收益率略高于中、高缴费基数参保职工,但其内部收益率因相对较短的寿命而大大降低。这也提醒政策制定者在研究制定延迟退休、社会养老保险全国统筹等政策时需要充分考虑参保职工内部不同群体间的平均预期寿命差别,对低收入参保者予以特别关注。

关键词: 职工基本养老保险, 平均退休余命, 收入再分配, 内部收益率

Abstract: Taking stock of heterogeneity in life expectancy among the insured with different baselines of premium payment in the Basic Pension Insurance for Urban Employees(BPIUE), this paper studies the pension income redistribution effect among the insured in BPIUE by calculating the internal rates of returns(IRRs). Based on the provincial cross-section data, the average life expectancy at the retirement ages is calculated for the insured with different pension payments, and then IRRs for various groups of the insured is estimated and compared. It is found that there is a weak positive pension income redistribution effect existing in BPIUE. Although the IRRs of the insured with low premium payment bases is slightly higher than those with medium and high premium payment bases, their total IRRs are greatly reduced due to their relatively short lifespan. This reminds policy makers of special attention paid to the low-income insured when formulating policies such as delaying retirement and unifying UPIUE at the national level, taking the discrepancy of life expectancy among the different groups of the insured. .

Key words: Basic Pension Insurance for Urban Employees, Average Life Expectancy At Retirement Ages, Income Redistribution, Internal Rate of Returns