统计研究 ›› 2013, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (10): 83-91.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

农户退耕还林政策的参与决策研究

万海远 李超   

  • 出版日期:2013-10-15 发布日期:2013-09-25

Study on the Participation in Decision-making on Sloping Land Conversion Program for Peasants

Wan Haiyuan & Li Chao   

  • Online:2013-10-15 Published:2013-09-25

摘要: 本文利用2009年退耕还林调查数据,对农户退耕还林项目的参与决策问题进行了系统研究。通过有针对性的样本及代理变量方法处理了退耕政策实施过程中的内生性问题,并进一步利用分位回归方法考察了不同收入水平农户的决策差异性。结果发现,家庭规模大、户主受教育程度高、土地质量低的农户更有可能参与退耕还林项目;而家庭上年购置固定设备少、外出务工工资率高的农户,放弃土地耕作的机会成本更小,从而更加愿意参与退耕还林政策;而且在不同收入分位上,家庭人均收入越高的农户越有可能参与退耕还林项目。

关键词: 退耕还林, 参与决策, 内生性, 分位回归, 货币政策分解, 货币政策工具, 货币政策时滞

Abstract: This paper investigated the household’s participation in decision-making on sloping land conversion program (SLCP) based on the survey data in 2009. With the proxy variables and exogenous samples, we found that the individuals that had larger family scale, more education and higher dry land percentage rate were more likely to participate into the SLCP program. But peasants with fewer fixed assets bought in last year and higher potential migration wage preferred to participate decision-making, because the opportunity cost was less compared to its counterpart. Furthermore, with the quantile regression method, we found that the probability of participating into the SLCP policy for peasants increased with higher income quantiles.

Key words: Sloping Land Conversion Program, Participation in Decision-making, Endogeneity, Quantile Regression, Decomposition of Monetary Policy, Monetary Policy Instruments, Time Lag of Monetary Policy