统计研究 ›› 2011, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (5): 33-40.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

入世是否成为了转折点?

陈立敏   

  • 出版日期:2011-05-15 发布日期:2011-05-20

Has joining the WTO been a turning point?

Chen Limin   

  • Online:2011-05-15 Published:2011-05-20

摘要: 内容提要:截止2011年底,中国加入世界贸易组织将正好达到十年,本文对1990-2009年中国制造业整体及七个子产业的国际竞争力进行了突变点分析,来检验入世的影响,结果发现:入世使中国制造业的出口竞争力发生向更强增长趋势的突变,而国际竞争力的趋势突变为增长减缓;中国制造业整体的国际竞争力在入世后发生了趋势突变,但七个子产业的国际竞争力都没有因入世而发生趋势突变,仅有部分子产业的出口竞争力发生了趋势突变;中国制造业国际竞争力的增长来源,只有一部分来自于国际市场份额的增加,而另一部分来源于国内市场占有率的提升。

关键词: 关键词:中国制造业, 国际竞争力, 入世 , 突变点分析

Abstract: Abstract: It will be just a decade from China’s joining the WTO by the end of this year. This paper takes breakpoint tests to international competitiveness of China manufacturings as a whole and its seven subclasses from 1990-2009, to examine the influence by China’s joining the WTO. It finds the results as follows: Joining the WTO lets export compeititiveness of China’s manufacturings has a breakpoint to a stronger increase, but international competitiveness of China’s manufacturings has a breakpoint to a slower increase. The international competitiveness of China’s manufacturings as a whole has a breakpoint after joining the WTO, but none of the seven subclasses’ international competitivenesses have breakpoints on joining the WTO, only export competitiveness of four subclasses have breakpoints. The increasing of China manufacturings’ international competitiveness only partly comes from the increasing of international market share, another source is the enhancement of domestic market share.