统计研究 ›› 2004, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (9): 33-4.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

股票市场风险的多重分形分析

施锡铨;艾克凤   

  1. 上海财经大学;上海理工大学
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2004-09-15 发布日期:2004-09-15

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2004-09-15 Published:2004-09-15

Abstract: Financial risk is ascribed to stochastic walk of returns. We find that the returns of stock markets don‘t follow stochastic walk, so it is imperfect to measure the risk with variance. The paper analyzes the return series of China stock markets and America stock markets with MF- DFA method. We deduce a conclusion that both of the two markets have character of muhifractal. The muhifractal character of China stock markets is more salient than the latter. A quantitative measurement of risk is concluded when we combine the multifractal character with factual risk.