关键词: 数字贸易, 规模测度, 融合比, 两阶段

Abstract: Digital trade is becoming an important part of the digital economy and a future trend of global trade. The main difference between digital trade and traditional trade is whether the transaction is realized in digital ways. Currently, most countries measure trade in services according to service types rather than transaction methods, which brings challenges to the measurement of digital trade. Based on the research of the UNCTAD from “digitally deliverable trade” to “actual digitally delivered trade”, and the OECD “Handbook on Measuring Digital Trade” about its full-caliber indicators on digital trade, the paper builds the digital trade measuring framework. Based on the calculation method of digital technology intergration ratio proposed by Jia Huaiqin (2018), we estimate the scale of Chinese digital trade from 2018 to 2020. The results show that in 2020, the scale of Chinese import and export for digital trade is 4 trillion RMB of which the scale of digitally delivered trade is 1.32 trillion RMB, the scale of digitally ordered trade in services is 0.99 trillion RMB, and the scale of digitally ordered trade in goods is 1.69 trillion RMB using the data of cross-border e-commerce. This paper deepens the research on the calculation of digital trade scale and provides a reference basis for further improving Chinese digital trade measurement and proposing strategies to promote the development of digital trade.

Key words: Digital Trade, Scale Measurement, Integration Ratio, Two Stages