统计研究

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

逆周期资本监管、监管压力与银行信贷研究

许坤 苏扬   

  • 出版日期:2016-03-15 发布日期:2016-03-21

Counter-cyclical Capital Regulation,Regulatory Pressure and Bank Loan

Xu Kun & Su Yang   

  • Online:2016-03-15 Published:2016-03-21

摘要:

本文主要考察我国银监会在2013年实施的逆周期资本监管对银行信贷的政策效果,政策前后可以视为一个典型的“准自然实验”,构建了双重差分模型(DID)进行分析。研究结果表明:(1)逆周期资本监管政策实施,不仅提高了监管压力较大银行的信贷增长,而且还降低了监管压力较大银行的信贷风险。说明了逆周期资本监管政策的逆周期操作效果显著。(2)逆周期资本监管政策实施后,因逆周期资本监管对风险权重不同影响,监管压力较大银行在信贷结构中更侧重于抵押贷款、长期贷款和个人贷款。研究结论为我国开展逆周期资本监管提供了重要的理论基础。

关键词: 逆周期资本监管, 监管压力, 银行信贷

Abstract:

This paper mainly studies the effect of counter-cyclical capital regulation on bank credit by constructing double difference model(DID), which is implemented by CBRC in 2013 and can be seen as a typical "quasi-natural experiment". The results show that counter-cyclical capital regulation can not only improve loan growth of banks with greater regulatory pressure, but also decrease credit risk of these banks. Operating results of counter-cyclical capital regulation are obvious. After the implementation, because of different influences of counter-cyclical capital regulation on the risk weights, banks with greater regulatory pressure will focus more on mortgages loan, long-term loan and Personal Mortgaged loan. Our study has laid an important basis for counter-cyclical capital regulation.

Key words: Counter-cyclical Capital Regulation, Regulatory Pressure, Bank Loan