统计研究 ›› 2010, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (9): 58-64.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

收入不确定性的测算方法研究

王健宇   

  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2010-09-15 发布日期:2010-09-15

Research of the Calculation Method of Income Uncertainty

Wang Jianyu   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2010-09-15 Published:2010-09-15

摘要: 收入不确定性一直是研究居民收入和居民消费等相关问题过程中不可或缺的重要变量。如何对收入不确定性进行科学、精确地测量一直是相关研究过程中的重点和难点。本文在总结相关研究成果的基础上,采用调整离差率(Adjusted Deviation Rate)指标来对居民的收入不确定性进行测算,较好地克服了代理指标过于间接、没有剔除居民预期之内的那部分收入波动以致对不确定性进行了放大、面临技术约束等不足。然后依据此测算方法对我国城乡居民的收入不确定性进行测算,并对此测算方法的特点及应用性进行归纳和说明。

关键词: 收入不确定性, 测算方法, 调整离差率

Abstract: Income uncertainty is an indispensable variable in studying the issues relevant people’s income and consumption. How to make a scientific and accurate measurement of income uncertainty is always the focus and difficulty. On the basis of current study results, “Adjust Deviation Rate” is put forward to measure the people’s income uncertainty. This method overcomes the weakness such as the indicators are too indirect and there is no exclusion of the fluctuations that residents can expect which will make uncertainty magnified and limited by technological factors. Next, the income uncertainties of the urban and rural residents are measured by this method. Moreover, this paper makes a summary and description of its characters and applications.