关键词: 竞争型投入产出模型, 非竞争型投入产出模型, GDP增长, 出口贸易

Abstract: This paper focus on the exports effect on the GDP growth. Based on the three kinds of IO Tables, we establish three IO models to evaluate the exports effects on the GDP and its’ growth. This study shows that the competitive IO model can not give the correct results of the contribution of the three demand factors on the GDP formation and GDP growth, while the non-competitive IO model, which contains the use matrix of imports, can give a moderate way to analyze the exports effect on the GDP. But this kind of non-competitive IO model usually over-estimates the exports effect because of not separating the processing trade from the ordinary trade. The third non-competitive IO model, which contains the use matrix of imports and separates the processing trade from the ordinary trade, can well and truly calculate the processing-exports effect and the ordinary-exports effect on GDP formation and its’ growth.

Key words: Content, IO, Model, Non-content, IO, Model, GDP, Growth, Exports