关键词: 农民收入, 财政农业支出, 农村用电量, 空间自回归模型

Abstract: Using the government expenditure for agriculture and rural electricity consumption as explanatory variables, this paper establishes spatial autoregressive models (SAR) for farmer’s income per capita. The results indicates the following facts: the phenomena of spatial auto-correlation obviously exist in farmer’s income, which shows that inter-provincial farmer’s income exists clustering effect; farmer’s income has significant spatial dependence on government expenditure for agriculture and rural electricity consumption; government expenditure for agriculture has positive effect on farmer’s income and rural electricity consumption is an important index to reflect farmer’s income level. Considering the big differences among provinces, the authors even study the same problem for 67 counties of Fujian Province and draws the similar results.

Key words: Farmer’s income, Government expenditure for agriculture, Rural electricity consumption, Spatial autoregressive model