统计研究 ›› 2007, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (7): 22-28.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

劳动力流动、资本转移和生产率增长——对中国工业“结构红利假说”的实证检验

李小平 陈勇   

  1. 中南财经政法大学经济学院
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2007-07-15 发布日期:2007-07-15

The Labor Flow, Capital Shift and Productivity Growth based on Chinese Industrial Sector’s Structure-Bonus Hypotheses

Li Xiaoping ;Chen Yong   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2007-07-15 Published:2007-07-15

摘要: 要素流动是影响生产率增长的一个重要原因,两者的关系反映在“结构红利假说”中:当投入要素从低生产率或者低生产率增长的部门向高生产率或高生产率增长部门流动时,会促进总生产率增长。本文使用常用的和扩展的shift-share方法实证检验了1998-2004年期间中国省际工业间的劳动力流动和资本转移对生产率增长的影响,发现劳动力流动对生产率增长的促进作用不显著;资本转移对生产率增长具有一定的促进作用;考虑Verdoorn效应后,劳动力和资本转移对中国工业TFP增长的总贡献较小,即结构红利假说并不显著;中国工业生产率增长的绝大部分原因还是内部增长效应。因此,更合理的配置省际工业间的生产要素显得很有必要。

关键词: 要素流动, 生产率增长, 结构红利假说

Abstract: The factor flow is the important reason of Productivity Growth, The relation between them is reflected in the Structural -Bonus Hypothesis. This paper examines the influence of labor few and capital shift of in dustrial sedor on prlducttuity growth Industrial Sector and during the period 1998-2004, using the conventional and extending shift-share analysis. The results show the structural-bonus hypothesis is not notable; the inputs of labor don’t shift to more productive industries from less productive industries. The main powers to promote the Province Industrial Sector’s productivity growth are the within-growth effect.

 

Key words: Factor Shift, Productivity Growth, The Structural -Bonus Hypothesis