统计研究 ›› 2004, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (4): 38-4.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

汇率战略的动态博弈模型及应用

魏巍贤
  

  1. 厦门大学
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2004-04-15 发布日期:2004-04-15

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2004-04-15 Published:2004-04-15

Abstract: The objective of this paper is to study the various possible exchange rate strategies and its applications. For that, we use a game theoretical approach, first with a finite horizon, second with an infinite one.Two strategies are possible (“weak” and “strong”). Depending on the time horizon, the equilibrium solution leads to two main implications. First, in the finite horizon case, an optimal Pareto solution can only be attained if beth players mutually agree not on disrupt each other‘s expectations on the exchange rate. Secondly, in the infinite horizon situation, it is the interest of each player to address a clear and strong signal to the other about its own strategy. These results have some important policy implications.