统计研究 ›› 2023, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (10): 151-160.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11–1302/c.2023.10.012

• • 上一篇    

经济试验中的社交网络调整自适应随机化方法

李 扬 谢嘉欣 秦祎辰 杨昊宇   

  • 出版日期:2023-10-25 发布日期:2023-10-25

Social Network Adjusted Response-Adaptive Randomization in Economic Experiment

Li Yang Xie Jiaxin Qin Yichen Yang Haoyu   

  • Online:2023-10-25 Published:2023-10-25

摘要: 伴随网络时代发展,个体间关系逐渐被纳入研究视角,基于社交网络的经济试验广泛开展。传统的随机化方法面临两大挑战:其一,参与试验的受试者间不再满足个体处理稳定性假设,若忽略网络干扰作用可能会导致估计偏差;其二,出于经济因素考虑,研究者希望在试验过程中分配更多受试者到优效干预组。针对上述问题,本文提出社交网络调整自适应随机化方法,该方法将响应变量自适应随机化方法与网络干扰作用平衡相结合,保证干预效果估计并将更多节点分配到优效干预组。模拟分析与实证研究均表明本文研究方法具有综合优势,是网络时代中进行经济试验的必要工具。

关键词: 自适应设计, 经济试验, 随机化, 社交网络

Abstract: With the development of the network era, the inter-individual relationship has increasingly caught researchers’ attention. The impact of social networks has been considered in economic experiments. The existing randomization methods face two major challenges. First, participants in the experiment fail to fulfill the stable unit treatment value assumption, leading to estimation bias if the network interference is ignored. Second, more participants are expected to be assigned to the superior group from the economic consideration. In this paper, we propose a social network adjusted response-adaptive randomization to address the two issues mentioned above. The proposed method combines the response-adaptive randomization with the balance of network interference to assign more nodes to superior groups while ensuring an accurate estimation of the effect of the intervention. Both the simulation and real data illustrate that the comprehensive superiority for the proposed method, which proves a necessary tool in economic experiments in the network era.

Key words: Adaptive Design, Economic Experiment, Randomization, Social Network