统计研究 ›› 2006, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (8): 57-61.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于协整方法和VAR模型的中国行政管理成本变动分析

金玉国; 张伟   

  1. 山东经济学院;济南大学
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2006-08-15 发布日期:2006-08-15

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-08-15 Published:2006-08-15

Abstract: Abstract:With the co-integration analysis on time series data, it can be found that there were a long-term dynamic equilibrium telation and a short-term error correction mechanism among economic development, system transferring and administration cost in 1978 ~ 2003 in China. The economic development had a promoting influence to the administration cost, and the system transfering had a negative effect to the administration cost. With the method of pulse response function and the variance decomposition based on VAR model, it can be discovered that the administration cost had a bigger response to the change rate of economic development than to that of system transferring