统计研究 ›› 2022, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (6): 101-116.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11–1302/c.2022.06.007

• • 上一篇    下一篇

国内外双循环体系下的贸易核算:一种新型框架及其应用

刘瑞翔 徐 瑾   

  • 出版日期:2022-06-25 发布日期:2022-06-25

Trade Accounting under the Dual-cycle System: A New Framework and its Application

Liu Ruixiang Xu Jin   

  • Online:2022-06-25 Published:2022-06-25

摘要: 在垂直一体化分工背景下,多种贸易核算方法得到了广泛应用,但现有的测算框架一致性和准确性原则并未得到有效验证,同时也难以直接应用到国内国际经济双循环体系之中。鉴于此,本文提出了一个简易可行的新型贸易核算框架,事先对出口商品按照其单次出境和多次出境进行有效区分并去除重复核算项,在此基础上得到出口商品中的新增价值结构和来源。与现有的贸易核算方法相比,本文所提供的方法具有以下特点:一是应用范围广泛,可应用于总量贸易、双边贸易以及国内国际循环商品的核算;二是较为简易方便;三是所得结果准确且满足一致性原则。

关键词: 新型贸易核算方法, 经济双循环, 准确性, 一致性

Abstract: In the context of vertically integrated division of labor, a variety of trade accounting methods have been widely used. However, the existing measurement framework has not been effectively verified for consistency and accuracy and is difficult to be applied directly to the dual-cycle economic system of China. In view of this, this article proposes a simple and feasible new trade accounting framework, which removes double accounting items in advance after distinguishing the outflow commodities according to their single and multiple cross-border behavior, and calculates the new value structure and source of the outflow commodities on this basis. Compared with the existing trade accounting methods, the method provided in this article has the following characteristics. First, it has a wide range of applications and can account for trade in a variety of situations, such as total trade volume, bilateral trade, and the accounting of domestic-cycle and international-cycle commodities. Second, it is easier and more convenient. Third, the results of the this trade accounting method are accurate and meet the principle of consistency.

Key words: New Trade Accounting Method, Dual-cycle economy, Accuracy, Consistency