统计研究

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我国基本单位多水平连续性抽样调查体系改革研究 --以规模以下工业调查为例

陈光慧 刘建平   

  • 出版日期:2014-07-15 发布日期:2014-07-14

The Reform Research about China's Basic Unit Multi-level Successive Sampling Survey System —A Case Study on Industrial Survey under the Designated Size

Chen Guanghui & Liu Jianping   

  • Online:2014-07-15 Published:2014-07-14

摘要: 我国现行的各类基本单位调查为国民经济核算和宏观调控提供了大量的统计数据,但仍存在值得改进和完善之处。本文试图对各类基本单位调查进行整体化研究,从多水平连续性抽样的角度对调查制度与方法进行理论研究和设计,建立一套科学有效的基本单位调查体系。为了阐述这套理论体系的应用效果,本文以工业调查为例,给出规模以下工业多水平连续性抽样调查方案设计的具体步骤,将企业名录框扩展成双重抽样框,将一次性抽样延伸到连续性抽样,设计具体的轮换模式更新各期样本,给出工业类指标的连续性抽样估计方法。这套改革方案还需要其它相关环节的配套改革,才能更好地发挥潜在的整体优势。

关键词: 基本单位, 多水平调查, 连续性抽样, 调查体系, 工业调查

Abstract: The current surveys about various basic units provide a number of statistical data for national accounts and macro-control, but there are still worthy of improvement and perfect. This paper would conduct an overall research about surveys for various basic units, and carry out theoretical research and design about the survey system and methods from the perspective of multi-level successive sampling, in order to establish a scientific and effective basic unit survey system. To illustrate the application effect of the theoretical system, with the industrial survey for example, the paper gives concrete steps for multi-level successive sampling design on industrial survey under the designated size, including to expand enterprise list frame to double sampling frame, extend the one-time sampling to successive sampling, design the specific rotation scheme to update samples of each period, give the successive sampling estimation methods of industrial indicators. This reform should be also combined with other related aspects of the supporting reform, in order to better exert the potential overall advantage.

Key words: Basic Unit, Multi-level Survey, Successive Sampling, Survey System, Industrial Survey