关键词: 金融资金流量矩阵表, 延长, 双矩阵RAS法

Abstract: Flow of Funds Matrices have important application value, but in China only account tables are adopted and the data lag so seriously that it is difficult to make its practical significance come true. Based on the deep understanding of table structure, accounts classification and balance relations about flow of funds matrix, this paper designed a combined model which is used to forecast flow of funds matrix by an effectively combining of econometric models such as multiple regression, time series model, state space model and RAS method, and then we used it to extend China’s flow of funds matrix from 2009 to 2012. The posteriori testing result suggested that the forecasting data have a comparatively good performance. This combined model can be generally used by official statistics agencies or private research institutions to extend flow of funds data.

Key words: Flow of Funds Matrices, Extending, Double Matrix of RAS Method