统计研究

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劳动收入份额及其变化趋势

徐蔼婷   

  • 出版日期:2014-04-15 发布日期:2014-04-02

Labor Income Share and its Trends

Aiting Xu   

  • Online:2014-04-15 Published:2014-04-02

摘要: 准确测算劳动收入份额是揭示中国国民收入功能分配格局的必要前提。本文基于广泛存在的未被观测经济视角,提出了一种测算劳动收入份额的新方法——“两系统平行测算法”。基于全国和区域两个维度的重新测算表明,中国的劳动收入份额基本上维持在50%以上水平,并未大幅低于广大发展中国家的平均水平,其变化规律并非一味地下降而是呈现典型的“倒U型”走势。系统分解结果进一步显示,劳动收入份额的上升是正向的GDP系统内效应和正向的NOE系统间效应共同作用的结果,而劳动收入份额的下降则是相对微弱的NOE系统间正效应无法抑制相对强大的GDP系统内负效应的结果。

关键词: 劳动收入份额, NOE, 两系统平行测算法, 系统间效应, 系统内效应

Abstract: Estimating labor income share accurately is an essential prerequisite to reveal the distribution pattern of China's national income. Based on the widespread NOE perspective, this article proposes a new method, parallel calculation in two systems, to estimate China’s labor income share. The re-calculation based on the national and regional dimensions indicates that China's labor income share has been essentially maintaining above 50% level, not being significantly lower than the average level of the majority of developing countries. The variation is not just to decline but shows a typical ‘inverted U-shaped’ trend. System decomposition results further show that the rise in the share of labor income is the consequence of the joint action taken by positive GDP systemic effect and positive NOE intersystemic effect, while the decline in the share of labor income is the consequence of the interaction that relatively weak positive NOE intersystemic effect cannot suppress the relatively strong negative GDP systemic effect.