统计研究 ›› 2001, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (11): 17-22.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

居民储蓄的长期均衡和短期波动——中国:1991-2000年的实证分析

周英章等   

  • 出版日期:2001-11-15 发布日期:2011-09-29

The Long-term Equilibrium and Short-term Fluctuation of Household Savings: the Case of China during 1991 and 2000

ZHOU Ying-Zhang .etc   

  • Online:2001-11-15 Published:2011-09-29

Abstract: This paper empirically analyzes the residents’ deposit during the 1991-2000 sample period in China by the latest time serial approach. The Cointegration test studies a possible long-term equilibrium relationship between the residents’ deposit and the determinants such as income, price, interest rate and capital market. The Beta coefficient and elasticity coefficient are also studied. The short-term influences of those determinants are studied by the Error Correction Model, which can describe the mechanism of the adjustment toward long-term equilibrium. This paper shows that the residents’ deposit in China has some new features during this period.