统计研究 ›› 2000, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (1): 53-55.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

用时间序列模型对社会消费品指数的规律进行研究和预测

李宝慧   

  • 出版日期:2000-01-15 发布日期:2012-02-14

Make Research and Forecasting to the Social Consumption Index with Time Series Models

LI Bao-Hui   

  • Online:2000-01-15 Published:2012-02-14

Abstract: In this article, the author constructs linear and non-linear time series model, autoregressive model, threshold autoregressive model and spare-coefficient autoregressive model China’s social consumption indexes since reform, and makes forecasting and testing to the social consumption index of 1997 with three kinds of models.