统计研究 ›› 2004, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (12): 31-4.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

技术指标与市场弱式有效的实证研究

汤光华;邓益民   

  1. 中山大学
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2004-12-15 发布日期:2004-12-15

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2004-12-15 Published:2004-12-15

Abstract: The paper investigates the effect of two commonly used technical indicators, the advance/decline ratio and the short-term trading index on forecasting market returns. The result shows that the indicators have statistically significant relationship to the subsequent third day‘s market index returns, and the relationship exists more frequently during trading hours than during non-trading hours, which means that information during the non-trading hours has little effect. Accordingly, the paper concludes that China stock market has not completely accorded to the week-form efficiency.