统计研究 ›› 2007, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (11): 22-28.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

原油价格波动对中国物价的影响——基于投入产出价格模型

任泽平 刘起运 潘文卿   

  1. 清华大学经济管理学院博士后;中国投入产出学会常务副理事长;清华大学经济管理学院经济系副教授
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2007-11-15 发布日期:2007-11-15

Crude Oil Price Effects on China's Price Level Based on Input-output Price Model

Ren Zeping;Pan Wenqing ;Liu Qiyun   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2007-11-15 Published:2007-11-15

摘要: 摘  要:本文以中国122部门投人产出表为数据基础,采用投人产出价格影响模型测算了原油价格变动对中国物价总体水平和各部门产品价格的影响程度,通过研究投人产出价格影响模型的前提假定和价格传导障碍因素,分析了原油价格的传导机制,提出了应对国际原油价格波动、提高我国抗油价波动能力的政策建议

Abstract: Abstract:This paper computes the effects of crude oil price's change on China's price level and economic sectors' price level by adopting the input-output price model and input-output of China in 2002. The authors also tests the hypothesis of inputoutput price model and the impediment factors of price effects, analyzes the conduction mechanism of crude oil price effects, and puts forward some suggestions against international oil price fluctuations.


 

Key words: Key words:Price effects model, Crude oil price, Price index, Input-output analysis