关键词: 三重城镇化, 耦合协调度, ESDA-GWR, 空间分异, 驱动力

Abstract: The coordinated development of urbanization is the basic premise to improve the quality of China's Urbanization. Based on the concept of triple urbanization, a composite index system of triple urbanization coordination consisting of population, capital and land was constructed. The coupling system model was used to evaluate the coordination development of urbanization of 283 cities. We explore the spatial distribution and internal and external driving force of the triple urbanization by the exploratory spatial data analysis method and the geographically weighted regression model. The results show that the coordination degree of triple urbanization in China has risen, but there are differences and positive spatial correlations among different regions. Among the factors, the internal driving force is dominant, and the influence of external driving force is weaker. In addition, the population-capital urbanization and capital-land urbanization coordination are the main forces to promote the coordination of urbanization, while the imbalance of population and land urbanization leads to the uncoordinated development of triple urbanization.

Key words: Triple Urbanization, Coupling and Coordination Degree, ESDA-GWR, Spatial Differentiation, Driving Force