统计研究 ›› 2018, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (1): 22-31.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2018.01.003

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中国制造还具有劳动力成本优势吗

李建强 赵西亮   

  • 出版日期:2018-01-25 发布日期:2018-01-25

Does “Made in China” Still Have a Labor Cost Advantage

Li Jianqiang & Zhao Xiliang   

  • Online:2018-01-25 Published:2018-01-25

摘要: 本文利用2002-2011年的制造业数据核算比较了中国与主要竞争国家的制造业单位劳动力成本,发现我国单位劳动力成本已经高于印尼、泰国和马来西亚等东南亚国家。具体地,东部地区单位劳动力成本2002年以后高于印尼,2007年超过我国中西部地区和泰国,2011年超过马来西亚;中西部地区单位劳动力成本2002年以后高于印尼,2009年超过泰国,2011年超过马来西亚,主要原因在于我国小时劳动力成本上升过快。因而,与印尼、泰国、马来西亚等东南亚国家相比,我国已不具有劳动力成本优势,再加上近年来我国人口红利的消失,中西部地区劳动力成本也已高于东南亚国家,因而,可以解释我国中西部地区为何没能及时接收东部地区的产业转移。

关键词: 单位劳动力成本, 劳动生产率, 中西部地区, 东南亚地区

Abstract: Based on 2002-2011 data, we compare unit labor cost in China with that in major competitive countries, and find that the unit labor cost in China is already higher than that in Indonesia, Thailand, and Malaysia. Specifically, the unit labor cost in East China is higher than that in Indonesia during the period, surpassed that in Mid-West China and Thailand in 2007, and topped that in Malaysia in 2011, while the unit labor cost in Mid-West China is higher than that in Indonesia during the period, exceeded that in Thailand in 2009, and overtook that in Malaysia in 2011. Our research also shows that the phenomena is mainly driven by the excessively rapid growth of labor cost in China. Moreover, given China’s disadvantage in labor cost and demographic structure, Mid-West China is not as attractive as Southeast Asia countries to manufacturing enterprises, which can explain that why Mid-West region failed to receive the industrial transfer from East region in time.

Key words: Unit Labor Cost, Labor Productivity, Mid-West China, Southeast Asia