统计研究

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我国省际贸易隐含污染核算方法的比较研究

刘巧玲 王奇   

  • 出版日期:2016-10-15 发布日期:2016-10-18

Comparative Study on the Accounting Methods of Embodied Emission in China’s Interprovincial Trade

Liu Qiaoling & Wang Qi   

  • Online:2016-10-15 Published:2016-10-18

摘要:

我国地区之间经济关联密切、贸易增长快速,国内贸易中隐含污染核算逐渐成为学术研究热点。本文比较分析了两种省际贸易隐含污染核算方法,包括基于双边贸易总量方法(EEBT)和地区间投入产出分析方法(MRIO)。运用两种方法对我国30省市间2002年和2007年贸易隐含SO2流动情况的实证分析结果表明:EEBT方法对省际贸易隐含污染的核算结果比MRIO方法核算结果高约18.87%~32.88%,导致这一结果差异形成的主要原因在于省际之间双边贸易产品不是全部为调入地的最终消费,其中的部分产品通过进入中间生产环节供国内其他地区消费或国际出口。并进一步对差异的地区分布进行了具体分析。研究结果对协调我国区域之间污染或经济政策的制定具有启示意义。

关键词: 隐含污染, 省际贸易, EEBT, MRIO

Abstract:

The accounting of embodied emission in domestic interregional trade has gradually become a hot topic in academic research under the background of closer regional interaction and increasing interregional trade. This paper first compares two accounting methods of embodied emission, including the method of Emissions Embodied in Bilateral Trade (EEBT) and the method of Multi-regional Input Output analysis (MRIO). It empirically analyzes the embodied SO2 in interprovincial trade among 30 provinces in China in 2002 and 2007. Calculations show that the results of EEBT method are larger by 18.87%~32.88% than that of MRIO method. The main reason for the difference is that the products of the provincial trade largely flow into the intermediate inputs, and ultimately be consumed by the rest provinces and exported. The regional distribution of the difference is further analyzed. The results of this study yield policy implications for the coordination of regional pollution and economic development.

Key words: Embodied Emission, Interprovincial Trade, EEBT ;MRIO;