统计研究 ›› 2013, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (2): 40-48.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于投资者异质性的投资组合选择与证券市场价格

李腊生等   

  • 出版日期:2013-02-15 发布日期:2013-02-18

Portfolio Selection upon Investors’ Heterogeneity and Securities Market Prices

Li Lasheng et al.   

  • Online:2013-02-15 Published:2013-02-18

摘要: 马科维茨给出了风险规避型投资者最优投资组合的解,并论证了组合投资的风险分散功能。然而组合投资是否只是风险规避型投资者的“专利”呢?本文依据马科维茨均值-方差模型的研究范式,在充分讨论不同风险偏好投资者投资组合选择最优解的基础上,分别剖析了风险规避、中性、追求型三类投资者投资组合选择行为,以此为依据来探讨均衡条件下证券市场运行特征,并相应给出我国证券市场的经验证据。分析结果表明:无论哪类风险偏好型投资者,其都存在可供选择的最优投资组合方案,只是风险追求型投资者的最优解复杂一些罢了,风险中性型投资者将选择ETF工具代替市场组合,且他们的选择行为对市场运行不产生影响,市场运行完全由风险规避和风险追求型投资者的行为决定,虽然我们从投资组合选择的差异上无法区分个体投资者的风险偏好类型,但我国证券市场整体却表现出明显的风险追求型特征。

关键词: 投资组合, 风险偏好, 有效边界, 无差异曲线

Abstract: Markowitz has given an optimal investment solution for those risk-aversion investors and proved its risk diversification function. But, is this portfolio management a patent only possessed by the risk-aversion investors? Based on the Markowitz mean-variance model paradigm, plus a full discussion about the optimal solution to the investors with different risk preferences, this paper analyzes the portfolio selection behavior for the three kinds of investors of risk aversion, risk indifference and risk seeking. Then it investigates the operating characteristics of the securities market and gives some empirical evidences with respect to China's securities market. The results show that there exist proper optimal solutions for all kinds of investors. The risk seeking investors’ optimal solution is the most complicated. The risk indifference investors use ETF tools instead of the market portfolio to make their decision, and their influence upon the market can be negligible accordingly, compared with the risk aversion as well as risk seeking investors. Hence, the latter two kinds of investors’ behaviors would play a key role in the securities market. Although it is difficult to separate individual investor’s risk preference according to the portfolio selection, China’s securities markets show a significant risk-seeking characteristics in general.

Key words: Portfolio, Risk Preference, Efficient Frontier, Indifference Curve