统计研究 ›› 2000, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (6): 40-43.
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董景荣, 杨秀苔
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DONG Jing-Rong, YANG Xiu-Tai
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Abstract: A firm’s ability to compete in new product markets is vital its profitability and long-term survival. Therefore, it is important to forecast accurately the Marketing diffusion of new products in designing Marketing strategies for new product planning and management. The paper introduce a new estimation procedure, augmented kalman Filter with continuous state and Discrete observations(AKF(C-D), for estimating the state space Models of the diffusion process of a new product. This method is directly applicable to differential diffusion models without imposing constraints on the model structure or the nature of the unknown parameters. The authors compare AKF(C-D) empirically with three other estimation procedures, demonstrating AKF(C-D)’s superior prediction performance.
董景荣, 杨秀苔. 预测新产品市场扩散的状态空间方法研究[J]. 统计研究, 2000, 17(6): 40-43.
DONG Jing-Rong, YANG Xiu-Tai. Study on the Prediction of the State Space of New Product’s Market Diffusion[J]. , 2000, 17(6): 40-43.
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https://tjyj.stats.gov.cn/CN/Y2000/V17/I6/40
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