统计研究 ›› 2006, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (12): 62-65.

• 论文 • 上一篇    

基于门限协整的长短利率关系研究

徐小华 陈正旭 何佳   

  1. 上海交通大学
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2006-12-15 发布日期:2006-12-15

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-12-15 Published:2006-12-15

Abstract: Abstract:This paper concentrates on the relationship between the short and the long interest rate by regression and cointegration. It was found that they have same direction to each other, and the spread can explain some variant of the long interest rate. The granger cointegration relationship was not found by Johansen Test, but a threshold cointegration relationship was found between them by Enders-Siklos test. In the end, the paper gives some suggestions for the authority.