统计研究 ›› 2005, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (8): 16-6.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国地区间财富分配趋同分析

赵红   

  1. 国家统计局
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2005-08-15 发布日期:2005-08-15

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2005-08-15 Published:2005-08-15

关键词: 收敛, GDP增长, 财富分配

Abstract: This paper employs a dynamic panel model with the data from the 28 Chinese regions over the period 1953~1998 to test whether convergence exists across regions with the basic Solow model(1956) and the human-capital augmented Solow model(Mankiw,Romer,and Weil(1992)).The regressions in this paper show strong evidence of absolute and conditional β-convergence across regions and over time,which,in combination with the evidence of σ-divergence,suggests that China is currently on the first catching up stage of the inverted-U curve invented by Kutznet(1995),which implies that the poor regions today will eventually catch up the rich regions tomorrow following the development evolution path of Chinese economy.In addition, this paper focuses on the evidence of technical progress variables,and argues that the construction of a technical-progress-accelerating soft-environment should the one of the main focuses by the policy makers in order to attain a sustainable high growth rate in the future.