统计研究 ›› 2008, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2): 46-51.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国的城市化与人口迁移——2000年以来的实证研究

许抄军; 罗能生   

  1. 湛江师范学院商学院
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2008-02-15 发布日期:2008-02-15

Urbanization and Migration in China: An Empirical Analysis since 2000

Xu Chaojun ; Luo Nengsheng   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-02-15 Published:2008-02-15

摘要: 内容提要:以中国统计年鉴、中国城市统计年鉴和全国经济与社会发展统计公报中的相关数据为依据,分析了中国2000年以来城市化及人口迁移的特征。从全国整体上看:2000年以来,中国的城市化水平增长速度较快,但有减缓的趋势;新增城镇人口和农村-城镇净迁入人口规模仍然较大,但都趋于递减,且净迁入人口对城市人口增长的贡献率也在下降。从城市层面上看:城市规模越大,对迁移人口的吸引力、净迁移人口对城市人口增长的贡献就越大;东、西部城市的净迁入率、净迁入人口对城市人口增长的贡献率都大于中部城市。进一步在分析其成因的基础上提出了相应的政策建议。

关键词: 关键词:城市化, 人口迁移, 人口增长

Abstract: Abstract: Based on the data of related Statistical Yearbook of China, this paper analyzes the feature of urbanization and migration in China since 2000. From the whole country we conclude as follows: (a) the growth rate of urbanization of China has increased fast, but the trend is slowing down; (b) the increased population and rural-urban migration is still large, but the trend is also decreasing, and the contribution ratio of increment to the population growth in city is declining. The conclusion of city level as follows: (a) the larger the city is, the greater the force of attraction to migration is, and the higher the contribution ratio to the population growth of migration is; (b) the ratio of net immigration and its contribution ratio to the population growth in eastern and western cities is higher than the central cities of china. On the base of results, this paper also puts forward some advices to make urbanization of China rapid development.

 

Key words: Key words:Urbanization, Migration, Population growth