统计研究 ›› 2019, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (6): 42-53.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2019.06.004

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降低实体税负能否遏制制造业企业“脱实向虚”

徐超等   

  • 出版日期:2019-06-25 发布日期:2019-06-13

Whether the Reduction of the Real Tax Burden Can Curb the Manufacturing“Shifting from Real to Virtual”

Xu Chao et al   

  • Online:2019-06-25 Published:2019-06-13

摘要: 我国制造业金融化是当下备受关注的热点问题,如何遏制制造业企业“脱实向虚”是防范化解重大金融风险、推动经济高质量发展的关键所在。本文借助2009年增值税转型改革准自然实验捕捉实体税负的外生变化,基于A股上市公司数据实证考察了实体税负与制造业金融化之间的因果关系。研究发现,增值税转型改革引发的实体税负下降显著降低了制造业企业的金融化水平;改革对于重资产企业和融资约束较小的企业影响较大,对于轻资产企业和融资约束较大的企业影响则相对不明显。激励机制检验表明,增值税转型改革相对提高了制造业企业实体资产收益率,并引导企业加大了固定资产投资和研发创新投入。本文将为政府部门制定和实施去金融化的相关税收政策提供有益参考。

关键词: 实体税负, 增值税转型改革, “脱实向虚”, 金融化

Abstract: The financialization of China’s manufacturing industry is a topical issue which is paid more and more attention at present. How to curb the manufacturing“shifting from real to virtual”is a linchpin to prevent and resolve major financial risks and to promote highquality economic development. By using the quasinatural experiment of VAT transformation reform in 2009 to capture exogenous changes in the real tax burden,this paper empirically examines the causal relationship between the real tax burden and the financialization of manufacturing industry based on the data of Ashare listed companies. It is found that the reduction of real tax burden caused by a VAT reform significantly reduces the level of financialization of manufacturing corporates,and the reform has a greater impact on the corporates with heavy assets and less financing constraints,while insignificant on the enterprises with light assets and more financing constraints. A test on the incentive mechanism shows that the VAT reform has relatively added up the assets yield of manufacturing entities, and steered the corporates to increase investment in fixed assets and R&D innovation. This study offers a useful reference for governmental departments to formulate and implement relevant tax policies for definancialization.

Key words: Real Tax Burden, VAT Transformation Reform, “Shifting from Real to Virtual”, Financialization