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中国省域经济增长模式评价:基于消费主导型指标体系的分析

毛中根 孙 豪   

  • 出版日期:2015-09-15 发布日期:2015-09-17

China Provincial Economic Growth Mode Valuation: Analysis of Consumption-led Index System

Mao Zhonggen Sun Hao   

  • Online:2015-09-15 Published:2015-09-17

摘要: 在阐释消费主导型经济增长模式内涵的基础上,本文构建了包含经济自主、需求结构、消费水平、消费结构和消费环境指标在内的消费主导型指标体系。基于指标体系,计算出消费主导型分值,得分位于40-60为投资主导型,得分位于60-80为内需主导型,得分位于80-100为消费主导型。研究表明,总体上,中国经济增长模式为以投资为主的内需主导型。区域经济增长模式差异较大:东部地区属于以消费为主的内需主导型,中西部地区属于以投资为主的内需主导型。省域经济增长模式中,北京和上海为消费主导型;江苏、广东和浙江属于以消费为主的内需主导型;山东、辽宁等22省属于以投资为主的内需主导型;新疆和西藏等4省为投资主导型。

关键词: 经济增长模式, 消费主导型, 指标体系, 省域经济

Abstract: Basing on the Consumption-led Economic Growth Pattern connotation, the research constructs a consumption-led economic growth index system which contains the economic autonomy, the demand structure, the consumption level, consumption structure and consumption environment index. Using the index system, it calculates the consumption-led economic growth score, which between 40 and 60 means investment-led, between 60 and 80 means domestic-led, between 80 and 100 means consumption-led. The result shows that China's economic growth mode is mainly domestic-led with investment in general. There are large differences between regional economic growth mode: the economic growth mode of the eastern region is mainly domestic-led with investment, the central and western regions are mainly domestic-led with consumption. The provincial economic growth mode is that, Beijing and Shanghai are consumption-led, Jiangsu, Guangdong and Zhejiang are mainly domestic-led with consumption, Shandong, Liaoning and other 22 provinces belong to domestic-led with investment, Xinjiang, Tibet and other 4 provinces are Investment-led.

Key words: Economic Growth Pattern, Consumption-led, Index System, Provincial Economic