统计研究

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生产要素地理集聚会影响产业结构变迁吗

焦勇   

  • 出版日期:2015-08-15 发布日期:2015-08-18

Does Geographic Agglomeration of Production Factors Influence Industrial Structure Change?

Jiao Yong   

  • Online:2015-08-15 Published:2015-08-18

摘要: 是什么因素导致了不同国家、地区和时期的产业结构出现如此大的差异性?本文通过构建劳动力地理集聚、人力资本地理集聚和资源地理集聚的理论测度,利用2003-2012年中国31个省区的面板数据,实证研究了生产要素地理集聚对产业结构变迁的影响。研究表明,劳动力地理集聚、人力资本地理集聚促进产业结构高级化和合理化进程,并且对东部、中部、西部地区的促进作用依次递减;资源地理集聚阻碍产业结构高级化和合理化发展,并且对东部、中部、西部地区的阻碍作用依次递减。控制变量中,自主创新不利于产业结构高级化,却促进了产业结构合理化发展;政府干预促进地区产业结构高级化,却阻碍产业结构合理化进程。

关键词: 生产要素地理集聚, 产业结构高级化, 产业结构合理化

Abstract: Why do there have big differences in industrial structure across different countries, regions and periods? Based on the measurement of geographic agglomeration of labor, human capital and resources, we use the panel data of 31 provinces from 2003 to 2012 to empirically analyze the effects of geographic agglomeration on industrial structure change. We find that geographic agglomeration of labor and human capital have positive effects on industrial structure change and geographic agglomeration of resources have negative effects on industrial structure change. The effects of geographic agglomeration of human capital and resources are descending order in eastern, central and western China. Self-dependent innovations have positive effects on the rationalization of industrial structure but have negative effects on the optimization shock of industrial structure. Government intervention have positive effects on the optimization shock of industrial structure but have negative effects on the rationalization of industrial structure.

Key words: Geographic Agglomeration of Production Factors, Optimization Shock of Industrial Structure, Rationalization of Industrial Structure