统计研究

• 论文 • 上一篇    

无额外信息的线性测度误差模型识别:两步估计法

乔坤元   

  • 出版日期:2015-11-15 发布日期:2015-11-19

Identifying Linear Error-in-Variables Models without Side Information: A Two-Step Estimation Approach

Qiao Kunyuan   

  • Online:2015-11-15 Published:2015-11-19

摘要: 测度误差普遍存在于现实数据当中。本文提出了无需额外信息的线性测度误差模型的两步估计法,并且发现使用该方法可以得到一致和渐进正态的估计量。在基本估计量的基础上,本文对两步估计法进行了一定的拓展,得到了更有效和更稳健的估计量,并且将这一估计方法推广到了时间序列数据和面板数据模型当中。本文进一步对比两步估计法和工具变量法,发现前者在一定条件下严格优于后者。蒙特卡洛模拟验证了这些估计量在有限样本中的良好性质,并且说明两步估计法相对于工具变量法的优势。

关键词: 测度误差, 线性模型, 两步估计法, 工具变量法

Abstract: Measurement errors are pervasive in data sets. This paper proposes a two-step estimation approach for linear models with measurement errors, and argues that the approach can generate consistent and asymptotic normal estimators. The study derives more efficient and more robust estimators on top the baseline one, and applies the estimation to time series and panel data models. Comparison between the two-step estimation and instrumental variable estimation is exhibited under some assumption, and it shows that the former strictly dominates the latter. A Monte Carlo simulation corroborates the performance of the estimators in the case of finite sample, and demonstrates also the comparative advantage of two step estimation over its instrumental variable counterpart.

Key words: Measurement Error, Linear Model, Two Step Estimation, Instrumental Variable Estimation