统计研究 ›› 2013, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (7): 9-17.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

纳入能源环境因素的中国全要素生产率再估算

郑丽琳 朱启贵   

  • 出版日期:2013-07-15 发布日期:2013-07-09

Re-estimation of Total Factor Productivity in China Accounting for the Energy and Environment Factors

Zheng Lilin & Zhu Qigui   

  • Online:2013-07-15 Published:2013-07-09

摘要: 能源环境约束下的经济增长问题直接推动了全要素生产率的深层次研究。本文基于1995-2010年省际面板数据,利用全局曼奎斯特-卢恩伯格指数法对中国全要素生产率进行再估算,并对其影响因素和收敛性特征进行实证分析。结果发现:纳入能源环境因素的全要素生产率年均增长幅度十分有限,东中西地区呈现递减特征,且增长来源各异;规模因素、管理因素、科技因素、涉外因素等对TFP变化存在正向影响,结构因素存在负向影响;TFP核密度分布呈现双峰特征,与线性回归东部、西部两大地带俱乐部收敛现象互为验证。

关键词: 全要素生产率, 全局曼奎斯特-卢恩伯格指数, 核密度估计, 俱乐部收敛

Abstract: The problem of economic growth under the energy and environmental constraints directly promote the further study of total factor productivity. Based on the provincial panel data from 1995 to 2010, this paper re-estimates the TFP of china by global Malmquist - Luenberger index approach. This paper also empirically examines causes and convergence of TFP. The results show that: the average annual growth rate of TFP considering energy and environmental factors is very limited. Three regions show a decreasing GML index and have varied sources of growth. Scale factors, management factors, technological factors, foreign factors have some positive impact on TFP change. Structural factors have some negative impact on TFP change. The nuclear density distribution of TFP have bimodal characteristics. It can be validated by the results from linear regression that there are two club convergence phenomenon in eastern and western.

Key words: Total Factor Productivity, Global Malmquist–Luenberger Index, Kernel Density Distribution, Club Convergence