统计研究 ›› 2013, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (4): 70-75.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

FDI对我国各地区经济增长的非线性效应分析

费宇 王江   

  • 出版日期:2013-04-15 发布日期:2013-04-15

The Non-linear Effects of FDI on Regional Economic Growth in China

Fei Yu & Wang Jiang   

  • Online:2013-04-15 Published:2013-04-15

摘要: 本文运用面板平滑转换(PSTR)模型研究国外直接投资(FDI)对我国省区经济增长的非线性效应。选取了FDI及影响FDI的市场规模、基础设施、产业结构等八个变量作为解释变量构建单因素和多因素PSTR模型。结果表明我国经济增长与FDI之间存在着平滑转换机制效应;FDI对经济增长的影响是非线性的,合理的解释了目前我国各省区引进FDI的经济效应差异;FDI是我国各省区经济增长的充分条件,但不是必要条件。

关键词: FDI, 经济增长效应, 非线性, 面板平滑转换(PSTR)模型

Abstract: The paper studies the non-linear effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) on regional economic growth in China based on panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model. We select eight factors including FDI, market size, infrastructure and industrial structure etc. as independent variables to construct PSTR model. The research result shows that there is a nonlinear and smooth transition characteristic feature between FDI and China’s economic growth, which explains reasonably the different economic effects of regions in China. FDI is the sufficient condition but not the necessary condition for the economic growth.

Key words: FDI, Economic Growth Effects, Non-linear, Panel Smooth Transition Regression Model