关键词: 农村住户调查, 连续性抽样, 样本轮换, 抽样设计

Abstract: Under the new situation of reform and opening up, China's statistical agencies of government carried out a series of rural surveys, such as the Rural Household Survey, provided a wide range of data to solve the “Three Rural” issues. This paper analyzes and summaries the various contradictions and problems that exist in the sampling program of the current Rural Household Survey, then uses the international forefront methods of the successive sampling survey as the theoretical basis. At last, this paper puts forward a series of reform measures respectively, from the construction of rural households sampling frame, the sampling of the successive phases sample, the design of two-dimensional balanced rotation scheme, the successive sampling estimation and its variance estimation, and the adjustment and analysis of the successive time-series data. Therefore, more scientific sampling program can be designed; the timely and accurate information and data services about “Three Rural” issues can be collected and provided. The program for other types sampling surveys can also be similarly designed and solved in accordance with the research ideas of this paper.

Key words: Rural Household Survey, Successive Sampling, Sample Rotation, Sampling Design