中国季度GDP初步数据优良性检验

统计研究 ›› 2013, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (11): 20-24.

中国季度GDP初步数据优良性检验

孙艳贡颖

出版日期:2013-11-15 发布日期:2013-11-04

An Assessment on the Superiority of China’s Preliminary Data of Quarterly GDP Announcement

Sun Yan & Gong Ying

Online:2013-11-15 Published:2013-11-04

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文以2004-2011年中国GDP季度初步数据为研究对象，对这一时期中国季度GDP初步数据的优良性进行实证分析。研究表明，这一时期，中国季度GDP初步核算数据具备无偏性，但其显著不满足数据的有效性。然而，得益于GDP修订程序，季度GDP初步核实数据的无偏性与有效性均得到了显著提高。

关键词: 中国GDP, 初步数据, 优良性检验

Abstract: This paper empirically analyzed the superiority of China’s preliminary data of quarterly GDP during 2004-2011. Results suggested that China’s preliminary accounting data of quarterly GDP was unbiased but inefficient. However, due to GDP revision process, the unbiasedness and efficiency of preliminary verified GDP were improved significantly.

Key words: China’s GDP, Preliminary Data, Superiority Assessment

孙艳贡颖. 中国季度GDP初步数据优良性检验[J]. 统计研究, 2013, 30(11): 20-24.

Sun Yan & Gong Ying. An Assessment on the Superiority of China’s Preliminary Data of Quarterly GDP Announcement[J]. , 2013, 30(11): 20-24.