统计研究 ›› 2012, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (1): 38-42.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国区域经济协调发展实证研究

韩兆洲等   

  • 出版日期:2012-01-15 发布日期:2012-01-09

A Pragmatic Study on Balanced Development of China's Regional Economy

Han Zhaozhou et al.   

  • Online:2012-01-15 Published:2012-01-09

摘要: 由于我国经济发展的区域不均衡性,区域经济的协调发展问题不仅是我国一项长期重要国策,也使其成为社会经济研究的热点问题。本文将空间计量模型与面板分析方法相结合,以我国省域经济发展作为研究对象和数据来源,从而对我国省域经济增长的协调发展和所受影响因素进行研究。结果显示,我国区域经济发展存在着显著的空间相关性,在经济发展的不同阶段影响经济增长的因素不同,对经济发展有持续显著正影响的因素有:人力资本、人口资本、市场化进程和财政支出等。据此本文提出若干政策建议,以促进我国经济协调增长。

关键词: 区域经济, 空间计量模型, 面板模型, 经济增长

Abstract: Because the economic development in China suffers from the problem of incoordination among different regions, the coordinated development of regional economies is not only an important long-term national policy, but also a hot issue in the research field. This paper combines the spatial econometric model with panel model as its analytical method, regards the provincial-level economic growth as its research target and data source, and analyzes the coordinated development of provincial-level economy and the factors that have effect on regional economic growth. The result shows there is remarkable spatial interaction between the regional economies, and the factors that have effect on economy are different in different stages of the economic growth, and some of the factors that have constant remarkable positive effect on the economic growth include human resource, population, the marketization process and financial spending. At last, this paper makes some effective suggestions on the basis of this study.

Key words: Regional Economy;Spatial Econometrics;Panel Model, Economic Growth