• 论文 •

### 能源价格上涨情景下能源消费与经济波动的综合特征

• 出版日期:2011-09-15 发布日期:2011-09-19

### The Synthetical Characteristics of Energy Consumption and Economic Fluctuation in the Scenes of Energy Price Rising

Yuan Pengfei & Wu Jilin

• Online:2011-09-15 Published:2011-09-19

Abstract: The marketable reform of energy pricing is a very important and pressing project in Chinese economic system reform in the future, this does not only directly affected the efficiency improvement of economic growth and energy consumption, but is also closely correlated with the economic transition and the situation of energy security. With constructing computable general equilibrium model (CGE), we investigate the synthetical characteristics of energy consumption and economic fluctuation in the scenes of energy price rising in China. The main findings are as follows: Though the rising of energy price has adverse effects on GDP, export, employment and so on (except import), and the price level rises accordingly, but it also can reduce the energy intensity and optimize the industry structure on some extent. As to the extent of influence, the influence of electricity price rising is the maximal, petroleum and gas is the less, and the influence of coal price rising is the minimum. For the output of different industries, the adverse impacts of energy price rising on energy industry itself is the maximal, that impacts on heavy industry is the less, and that impacts on agriculture, light industry and so on are the least. Based on the results, we consider that the marketable reform of energy pricing is an effective route to promote energy saving and improve the efficiency of economic growth in China.