统计研究 ›› 2010, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (12): 72-77.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国资本存量的重估

徐杰等   

  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2010-12-15 发布日期:2010-12-15

Reestimating the Capital Stock of China

Xu Jie et al.   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2010-12-15 Published:2010-12-15

摘要: 资本存量是进行宏观经济研究的基础,而我国目前尚无官方公布的资本存量数据。因此,为了提高后续研究的可靠性与准确性,结合既有研究成果,提出了利用投入产出表数据对资本存量进行测算的一个方法,并运用该方法对我国1986-2007年的固定资本存量和工业行业的固定资本存量进行了测算,同时将测算结果与已有成果进行了对比分析。通过资本产出比的检验表明,我国经济正在经历一个资本深化的过程。进一步对工业行业资本存量的研究表明,1990年代中后期,我国主要工业行业均出现了资本深化过程,但1998年之后,不存在资本深化现象。

关键词: 资本存量, 投入产出表, 永续盘存法

Abstract: Capital stock is the basis of macroeconomic research, yet, there exists no official data of the capital stock in China. So, in order to improve the reliability and accuracy of follow-up study, by reviewing and comparing the existing research results, we give a method of calculating the capital stock by input-output table, and calculate the fixed capital stock and industrial sectors in China from 1986 to 2007 by PIM, further, compare the estimation results with the existing research. The capital-output ratio test shows that China is going through a capital deepening process. Further, by analyzing the capital stock of industrial sectors, we draw a conclusion, since the mid-90s, China’s major industrial sectors have emerged in the process of capital deepening, but after the 1998, there was no capital deepening phenomenon.

Key words: Capital Stock, Input-Output Table, PIM