统计研究 ›› 2008, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (8): 45-49.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于PSTR模型的地区间资本流动能力研究

贺胜兵   

  1. 华中科技大学经济学院
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2008-08-15 发布日期:2008-08-15

Research on China’s Regional Capital Mobility Based on Panel Smooth Transition Regression Approach

He Shengbing

  

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-08-15 Published:2008-08-15

摘要: 本文首次采用面板平滑转换模型对我国地区间资本流动能力进行了检验,考察了经济增长率、开放度和经济规模对资本流动性的影响。研究表明,我国各省FH系数具有明显的异质性,投资率和储蓄率具有显著的非线性关系。经济增长越快,FH系数越高,表明收入增长促进了本地投资;地区经济规模越大,FH系数越低,说明经济发达地区的资本流动性更大;开放度的影响不显著。本文估计出了我国各省历年的FH系数,由于受到宏观因素的冲击,各省的FH系数表现出共同变动的特征,表明宏观政策对国内资本流动具有重要的影响。

关键词: Feldstein-Horioka测试, 地区间资本流动, 面板平滑转换模型

Abstract: This paper tests China’s regional capital mobility using the panel smooth transition regression model. The results indicate that China’s provincial saving-retention coefficients have significant heterogeneity and economic growth rate and economic scale have significant influence on the investment-saving. Due to the impact of macroeconomic factors, the coefficients changes in a common feature, which shows that the economic policy has important effect on capital mobility.


 

Key words: Feldstein-Horioka test, Regional capital mobility, Panel smooth transition regression