统计研究 ›› 2008, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (5): 50-60.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国农户收入增长与就业决策行为:一个动态解释—基于湖北农户跟踪调查的实证研究

王春超   

  1. 华中师范大学经济学院
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2008-05-15 发布日期:2008-05-15

Income Growth and Employment Strategy of Chinese Peasant Household: A Dynamic Explanation

Wang Chunchao   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-05-15 Published:2008-05-15

摘要: 本文围绕着农户家庭收入增长和劳动就业决策行为的动态关系而展开,笔者在设定一个基本理论框架的基础上提出了两个基本假说,进而引出了经验分析。本项研究利用2001—2006年湖北15个村庄的900户农户跟踪调查的面板数据,研究发现:(1)农户家庭是一个理性的微观经济组织。(2)处于外生政策变动中的农户经济组织是一个完整的经济系统,它在外部经济条件的冲击下表现出比较稳定的“状态依赖”特征。当前中国农村形成了“农村就业两端刚性”的趋势。(3)从短期来看,外部支农政策冲击并没有从本质上改变农户家庭的就业决策行为。(4)中国农村家庭就业行为决策是本质上的理性和表现上的非理性的统一。

关键词: 农户, 收入增长, 就业决策行为

Abstract: With its focus on the income growth and employment decision act of the peasant household, this paper has set a theoretical framework, and has raised two fundamental hypotheses. This study has gained several findings using panel data of 900 peasant households in Hubei from 2001 to 2006, the empirical study are as followed: (1) peasant household is a rational micro economic organization; (2) under the condition of changing exogenous policy, the peasant households is a complete economic system, which appears to be characterized stably “state dependence”. Currently, peasant households have commonly formed the trend of “two stream non-elasticity on labor employment”; (3) in the short run, some policies prior to the development of agricultural, rural and farmer have little impact on the employment decision of peasant household; (4) the employment decision of peasant households has formed the whole of rationality in nature and irrationality in appearance.


 

Key words: Peasant household, Income growth, Labor employment strategy

中图分类号: 

  • F222